The armed rebellion in Syria has not lost its sting, but it remains considerably less than the sum of its parts.
Four factors help explain how Tunisia was able to reach a landmark political compromise and put its democratic transition back on track.
The Syrian National Coalition is living on borrowed time. Unless it can develop credible political leadership and effective administration inside Syria, the outlook for those trying to make it succeed looks bleak.
The Assad regime is clawing its way back to a position of dominance in the Syrian conflict. But it can only maintain that position as long as the armed conflict endures.
The time when Assad might have been defeated by a truly inept opposition leadership and fragmented rebel movement has passed.
Faced with a series of regional challenges and coming under intense international pressure to pull out from Syria, Hezbollah has been pushed to embark on an exercise of self-review and to make compromises at home.
Without the muscular involvement of a powerful labor union, it is unlikely that Tunisia’s remarkable political settlement would have come about.
Egyptians know very little about the man who will likely be their next president—including whether he can untangle the knot of problems ensnaring the country.
Ankara’s attempts to make democracy promotion a focus of its foreign policy have had only limited success, in part because Turkey is losing credibility as a democratic model.
Egypt is far more violent and unstable than it has been in decades. With government repression driving a cycle of political violence, a different approach is needed.
Turkey is in the midst of a deepening political crisis with far-reaching consequences. That is worrisome not just at home but also for outside actors, especially the EU.
Hopes are high that Lebanon’s new cabinet can restore stability. But simmering tensions stemming from Hezbollah and its role in the Syrian conflict threaten to derail progress.
Throughout the Middle East, the overthrow of Egypt’s Mohamed Morsi has heightened Islamist-secularist tensions and pushed actors toward zero-sum politics.
An influential Islamic social movement has advanced Turkey’s soft power for decades, but an emerging power struggle between the movement and Ankara could change all that.
The Special Tribunal for Lebanon is trying five suspects for the 2005 assassination of Rafik Hariri. Getting here has been difficult, but international justice is worth it.
There is a real danger that international observers monitoring Egypt’s constitutional referendum will lend legitimacy to a flawed and undemocratic process.
Barack Obama has had a tough year. Does 2014 portend more of the same?
If all goes according to plan, Iran will sign a comprehensive final agreement on its nuclear program in 2014. But it would be unwise to bet that events will unfold as planned.
Any peaceful solution for Syria will hinge on a compromise that brings a transitional government to Damascus.
In the eyes of the West, Ankara fluctuates on international issues and displays a lack of consistency in dealing with its allies. Why is Turkey’s foreign policy so erratic?