If a nuclear deal is not reached, Tehran is ready to try to win the world over to its side. The transatlantic allies need to carefully manage the possible fallout from failure.
A nuclear deal with Iran could help revive the country’s energy sector, with serious effects on consumers and producers, especially in the Middle East.
The well-intentioned instincts of Barack Obama have run up against the harsh, complex realities of a Middle East in which no conflict has only two sides or a good outcome that doesn’t create new risks.
With respect to Iran, the United States has three basic choices: a war option, a deal option, and a “muddling through” option.
Unless and until Iran prioritizes national and economic interests before revolutionary ideology, it will continue to remain a country with enormous but squandered potential.
Even if the gaps in diplomacy appear quite large, there’s no great alternative to a continuation of negotiations with Iran.
Washington hopes to foster a new and improved relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia, but that may be a distant dream. Enmity between the two rivals runs deep.
Russia’s annexation of Crimea and possible future incursions into eastern Ukraine could reshape the geopolitical map of Europe and derail cooperation between Moscow and the West for years to come.
The political impasse of Bahrain is a festering wound in the Gulf. If left unaddressed, it will eventually threaten U.S. assets and people.
Putin’s annexation of Crimea may be a victory at home, but it will harm Russia’s interests in the Middle East. If Iran could get sanctions removed, it might benefit from selling gas and oil to Europe.