Faced with declining gas production and falling oil prices, Algeria is moving to tap its promising shale resources—but success is not assured.
The chaos in Libya continues to have a negative impact on the region. Recently, a boat carrying immigrants from Libya to Italy was capsized and the Islamic State killed Ethiopian Christians.
Should the EU3+3 and Iran conclude an agreement, this might go far toward reducing Iran’s nuclear threat for ten years, but success will depend utterly on the detailed provisions.
Western democratic powers are no longer the dominant external shapers of political transitions around the world.
As Yemenis are caught between airstrikes and troops on the ground and militias, there is an increased chance of death—if not by war, then by hunger.
The nuclear deal’s potential benefits to sectarian relations in the Gulf have been offset by the escalating violence in Yemen and a wave of Sunni triumphalism.
Lebanon was founded with a multisectarian identity. However, internal challenges and external threats have led to an increasingly fragile sectarian landscape.
After ten years of thorough investigation, the IAEA found no evidence of any undeclared or clandestine nuclear activities in Turkey.
Sanctions relief should be a reward for ending Iran’s nuke program. But the current deal is a massive payment to temporarily put it on hold.
Egypt’s political scene has changed radically from the vigorous pluralism that followed the 2011 uprising; in 2015 the Islamist and secular groups that won those elections are excluded or marginalized.
Since the 2011 Arab uprisings, Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy in the Middle East has been non-ideological, realist, and defensive in intent, but negative in its implications for democracy.
The Egyptian military has gained unprecedented power since overseeing the ouster of two Egyptian presidents, Hosni Mubarak in 2011 and Mohamed Morsi in 2013. But political overreach and internal rivalries may prove obstacles to long-term military control.
The self-proclaimed Islamic State is using past Western transgressions in Iraq to justify its brutality.
President Putin’s decision to lift the ban on the transfer of the S-300 air defense system to Iran signals a new departure for Moscow’s policy in the Middle East.
To many, there appears to be no logic in the course of events in Yarmouk. The fact is that, in the ongoing conflict in Syria, it is the reality on the battlefield rather than theoretical reasoning that is imposing itself.
Algeria’s Movement of Society for Peace faces a difficult choice: become a real opposition party or maintain its special relationship with the regime.
The self-proclaimed Islamic State’s takeover of the Yarmouk refugee camp is good for Bashar al-Assad.
Economic interests, combined with national security considerations, give Turkey an incentive not to seek nuclear weapons.
There are signs of internal dissension within the self-proclaimed Islamic State. But even if it is in partial retreat, it is a likely threat in the Middle East—and to Western interests—for years to come.
Whoever takes the White House in 2016 will determine the fate of Obama’s deal.
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